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[X] TRUTH IN BUDGETING
[X] INTERNATIONAL & NATIONAL MENU
[X] HOME PAGE (Main Menu)
CONTENTS
[. .] Introduction
[X] 1. Debate Context
[X] 2. Truth in Budgeting
[X] 3. Social Safety-Net
[X] 4. Partial Privatization
[X] Comment and Counter-Comment
. . .[X] *** Benchmark Years *** (A separate page)
. . .[X] *** Slogan
Arguments *** (A separate page)
. . .[X] *** Economic Arguments *** (A separate page)
[X] Sources of Information
. . .Links:
. . .References:
INTRODUCTION
The
purpose of this page is to explain a few of the concepts, terminology, and slogans being used in the current debate on the future of Social Security. My intent is NOT to push a specific set of reforms.
Almost all of the forecasted numbers were taken from the 2004 and 2005 annual Trustees' Reports of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance trust funds. These reports are located on the Social Security Administration's web site [X]. Links and references to more detailed discussions are listed under SOURCES OF INFORMATION [X]. The sections 1. --> 4. below are devoted to "building blocks" that explain the technical terminology used in the Social Security reform debate. The reader, who is familiar with the terminology, may wish skip directly to the COMMENT AND COUNTER-COMMENT [X] section that lists the benchmark years, slogan arguments, and economic arguments. The economic-arguments page closes with the author's supportive discussion of one of the possible reforms, adjusting the retirement age with changes in the average life span.
Because of the detailed nature of this subject, there may be unintended errors on this page. If an error is suspected, the reader is urged to write to or call the author. There is enough confusion out there without this web site adding more. The following four sections are numbered for easy reference.
1. DEBATE CONTEXT
The Social-Security debate is being held in the context of our nation's current three-tier retirement system. The various Social Security reform plans usually call for shifting resources from one of these tiers to another.
To help set the stage for a comment and counter-comment dialogue on Social Security reform, sections 2. --> 4. below will give an overview of the federal accounting system, the nation's social safety net, and one generalized privatization plan. Readers already well versed on these topics may wish to skip to the Comment and Counter-Comment section below [X].
2. TRUTH IN BUDGETING
In brief, at the close of 2004, the Social Security Trust Fund owned about $1.5 trillion of the
interest-bearing bonds that had been sold to cover the $7.4 trillion gross public debt.
Strange as it sounds, there are two basically different ways of looking at the federal accounting system. In many instances, the conflicting opinions on the long-term stability of the Social Security system are the result of these two different viewpoints or paradigms. These two paradigms are explained on a separate page: [X] TRUTH IN BUDGETING: A BRIEF PRIMER ON FEDERAL GOVERNMENT ACCOUNTING.
3. SOCIAL SAFETY-NET
Five of the many components included in the Federal Government's social safety-net are listed below.
4. PARTIAL PRIVATIZATION OF SOCIAL SECURITY
President George W. Bush has proposed
transferring retirement funds from the public-ownership tier to the private-ownership tier. Mr. Bush states that moneys placed into a pay-ahead privately owned investment plan should give a better interest return than money placed in the current
pay-as-you-go system of Social Security. A series of questions and answers on "Social Security's Future - FAQs" is located on a Federal Government web site---http://www.socialsecurity.gov/qa.htm [X].
One of the questions and answer sets (QAs) listed on this web site is:
Q. Does President Bush have a specific plan to modernize and reform Social Security?
A. No, but the President has established six guiding principles for
any reform of Social Security:
Some reformers have suggested using 4.0%
of the 12.4% payroll tax (about 1/3) for private accounts. In rounded number, this means a person could choose to use:
1/3 of payroll tax for disability and survivors insurance
1/3 of payroll tax for retirement insurance
1/3 of payroll tax for
private investment accounts.
In other words, a person could choose to cut their traditional Social Security retirement benefits in half in order to use 1/3 of the payroll tax for investment purposes. Exercising this choice would shift one's
payroll tax funds from the first tier (public ownership) to the second tier (private ownership) of our nation's three-tier retirement system.
COMMENT AND COUNTER-COMMENT
The COMMENT AND COUNTER-COMMENT exchanges are
shown on three separate pages that discuss the:
[X] *** BENCHMARK YEARS *** (A separate page)
The benchmark years mentioned in the analysis of the long-term solvency of the Social Security retirement
program are: 2008, 2018, 2025, and 2042.
[X] *** SLOGAN ARGUMENTS *** (A separate page)
Slogan arguments are grouped here because these arguments are based on either a misunderstand of the federal accounting
system, use of the "single-fund paradigm", or an intentional distortion of reality.
[X] *** ECONOMIC ARGUMENTS *** (A separate page)
Economic arguments include most proposed reforms
that offer an economic advantage in the long-term.
SOURCES OF INFORMATION
LINKS:
. . [X] AARP
. . [X] Center for Economic and Policy Research
. .
[X] Social Security Administration
. . [X] White House
REFERENCES:
* * Running on Empty: How the Democratic and Republican Parties Are Bankrupting Our
Future and What Americans Can Do About It, by Peter G. Peterson, 2004, ISBN 0-374-25287-4
* * Social Security: The Phony Crisis, by Dean Baker and Mark Weisbrot, 1999, University of Chicago Press, ISBN 0-226-03544-1
[X] TRUTH IN BUDGETING
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Address:
Bill Buckel
1641 Hess Blvd.
Columbus, OH 43212
. .
Ph. 614--488-8963
Notice: This web site does not have an e-mail return address.
URL = http://www.billbuckel.com
This page last updated: October 22, 2005